Spoiler alert: You are about to hear what effects this year’s Presidential election may have on the U.S. stock market six months down the road. Are you ready? The answer is probably not much. That’s right: a hotly contested election pitting competing economic policies against each other in a time of world financial crisis probably will make little difference to […]
During the past quarter, U.S. and international stocks were back in negative territory, with international and emerging markets down the most. This quarter had a negative impact on our one-year returns, leaving only the S&P 500 and real estate in positive territory for the year. The following chart shows the 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year performance of many DFA funds (representing […]
Some pension funds for state and local employees have sought higher risk investments in order to boost returns and make up for funding shortfalls. Others have stuck to a traditional diversified stock and bond mix. Guess who has done better? (Here’s a hint: it wasn’t the pension plans that took high risks). Falling tax revenues and rising retirement costs have […]
Gold has been on a tear since 2000, but its long-term record of growth for individual investors is pretty poor. From the end of 1999 through 2011, gold beat most major equity asset classes, gaining an average of 12.3 percent per year, says Dimensional Fund Advisors, a large California-based investment firm. But the record since 1975, when individual U.S. investors […]
Volatilestock markets generate a peculiar type of celebrity known as the “perma-bear.” This is the highly negative forecaster who gets credited with calling a bear market before it starts. What you usually don’t get told is that he or she has been calling for a bear market for years without success. When their big chance finally comes, perma-bears milk it […]
A recent article appearing in the Financial Times caught our eye—or perhaps we should say ear. At first glance it was unremarkable—just one among dozens of recent think pieces suggesting that investors were losing interest in stocks as markets around the world continued to stagnate. But the tone of the article sounded remarkably familiar. We dug out our copy of the “Death […]
The 401k retirement savings account offered by employers has become ubiquitous over the last 30 years. But some retirement planning experts predict that 401ks will be overtaken by a new form of retirement savings in the future. The reason is simple: the accounts don’t help lower income employees who lack the ability to save for retirement, and they put each […]
The latest consumer inflation rate was clocked at 2.3 percent in April. Sounds pretty benign, doesn’t it? Well it isn’t if you are keeping large sums of money in the bank at today’s interest rates. In fact, “safe” money in the bank is being subject to erosion just as surely as any stock market decline might affect your investment portfolio. […]
Individual investors have fled the stock market in droves ever since the great bear market of 2008. The latest statistics show investors selling more stock mutual funds than they buy and putting much of the proceeds into bond funds. Meanwhile market volatility has increased again as another round of scary financial headlines from Europe have pushed prices down sharply in […]
I am just flying home from Chicago, where I had the opportunity to spend the past week with my fee-only advisor colleagues at the 2012 NAPFA National Conference. I had a great time and learned a lot too. Here are some of the highlights: William Strauss, senior economist with the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, said that while “growth of […]
