Retirement can be the most exciting and rewarding time of all, but, like any other stage in life, there are unique financial risks that need to be addressed. Longevity, inflation, health care needs, the death of a spouse, problems with living independently—all can affect a retiree’s quality of life. Changes in laws and social welfare programs can have dramatic effects on a […]
Knightmare on Wall Street
Question: Which of the following statements applies to last week’s stock market behavior? Computer errors at a major trading firm generated millions of faulty trades, causing dramatic and puzzling price swings in dozens of stocks Wednesday morning. A New York Times columnist fumed that “Wall Street has created its own Frankenstein. The machines are now in charge.” Stocks on the fifty-two-week new […]
Trying to avoid risk can be very costly
Some investors today are doing what worried investors always seem to do in times of stress—trying to avoid “risk” by buying the “safest” assets. In this case that has meant buying government bonds from the United States, Germany, Australia, the Netherlands, and other countries considered safe havens. Panic buying has pushed yields in some cases to negative levels, meaning investors […]
What will the presidential election do to the market?
Spoiler alert: You are about to hear what effects this year’s Presidential election may have on the U.S. stock market six months down the road. Are you ready? The answer is probably not much. That’s right: a hotly contested election pitting competing economic policies against each other in a time of world financial crisis probably will make little difference to […]
Client Letter – Q2 2012
During the past quarter, U.S. and international stocks were back in negative territory, with international and emerging markets down the most. This quarter had a negative impact on our one-year returns, leaving only the S&P 500 and real estate in positive territory for the year. The following chart shows the 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year performance of many DFA funds (representing […]
Public pension fund travails show that risk and fees matter
Some pension funds for state and local employees have sought higher risk investments in order to boost returns and make up for funding shortfalls. Others have stuck to a traditional diversified stock and bond mix. Guess who has done better? (Here’s a hint: it wasn’t the pension plans that took high risks). Falling tax revenues and rising retirement costs have […]
Gold disappoints over the long-term
Gold has been on a tear since 2000, but its long-term record of growth for individual investors is pretty poor. From the end of 1999 through 2011, gold beat most major equity asset classes, gaining an average of 12.3 percent per year, says Dimensional Fund Advisors, a large California-based investment firm. But the record since 1975, when individual U.S. investors […]
Scary predictions by perma-bears end up being hot air
Volatilestock markets generate a peculiar type of celebrity known as the “perma-bear.” This is the highly negative forecaster who gets credited with calling a bear market before it starts. What you usually don’t get told is that he or she has been calling for a bear market for years without success. When their big chance finally comes, perma-bears milk it […]
The Death of Equities, Revisited
A recent article appearing in the Financial Times caught our eye—or perhaps we should say ear. At first glance it was unremarkable—just one among dozens of recent think pieces suggesting that investors were losing interest in stocks as markets around the world continued to stagnate. But the tone of the article sounded remarkably familiar. We dug out our copy of the “Death […]
Is this the last generation to use 401ks?
The 401k retirement savings account offered by employers has become ubiquitous over the last 30 years. But some retirement planning experts predict that 401ks will be overtaken by a new form of retirement savings in the future. The reason is simple: the accounts don’t help lower income employees who lack the ability to save for retirement, and they put each […]