Another Wall of Worry

Stock prices rallied sharply around the world in the third quarter, with forty-two out of forty-five countries tracked by MSCI showing positive returns in US dollar terms. Total return exceeded 10% in nineteen different markets, while Ireland, Japan, and Morocco registered minor losses. For the twelve-month period ending September 30, 2012, forty markets had positive returns, with six countries—including the […]

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Knightmare on Wall Street

Question: Which of the following statements applies to last week’s stock market behavior? Computer errors at a major trading firm generated millions of faulty trades, causing dramatic and puzzling price swings in dozens of stocks Wednesday morning. A New York Times columnist fumed that “Wall Street has created its own Frankenstein. The machines are now in charge.” Stocks on the fifty-two-week new […]

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Trying to avoid risk can be very costly

Some investors today are doing what worried investors always seem to do in times of stress—trying to avoid “risk” by buying the “safest” assets. In this case that has meant buying government bonds from the United States, Germany, Australia, the Netherlands, and other countries considered safe havens. Panic buying has pushed yields in some cases to negative levels, meaning investors […]

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What will the presidential election do to the market?

Spoiler alert: You are about to hear what effects this year’s Presidential election may have on the U.S. stock market six months down the road. Are you ready? The answer is probably not much. That’s right: a hotly contested election pitting competing economic policies against each other in a time of world  financial crisis probably will make little difference to […]

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Gold disappoints over the long-term

Gold has been on a tear since 2000, but its long-term record of growth for individual investors is pretty poor. From the end of 1999 through 2011, gold beat most major equity asset classes, gaining an average of 12.3 percent per year, says Dimensional Fund Advisors, a large California-based investment firm. But the record since 1975, when individual U.S. investors […]

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The Death of Equities, Revisited

A recent article appearing in the Financial Times caught our eye—or perhaps we should say ear. At first glance it was unremarkable—just one among dozens of recent think pieces suggesting that investors were losing interest in stocks as markets around the world continued to stagnate. But the tone of the article sounded remarkably familiar. We dug out our copy of the “Death […]

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