So what’s going to happen to the market after the election? That question seems to be on the minds of many individual investors these days. The implications are that the market will be affected by the election and in a different way depending on which party lands on Pennsylvania Avenue. More importantly, the investor who asks this question is also […]
Bonds prove that common wisdom can be wrong
Earlier this year a rash of news stories and market commentaries warned investors about a coming decline in the bond market. The Federal Reserve had all but guaranteed it would begin raising interest rates for the first time in four years in order to head off incipient inflation. Rising rates are bad for bonds: their prices fall. The general wisdom […]
Take a random walk down Wall Street
Our analysts will uncover the best stocks to buy. The chart on that stock forecasts a breakout to new highs. Our mutual fund beats the market because our manager is really, really smart. Sure, and the check is in the mail. It is simply amazing that 40-plus years after academic investment researchers began poking holes in Wall Street’s unsupported claims […]
Avoid dangerous investor mistakes
Investment research has long shown that an investor does best by holding investments in a variety of different assets whose returns are not closely correlated. This type of investing, known as “asset class investing,” has plenty of support in academic research and in practice. In general, a well-diversified asset-class portfolio behaves in a more stable fashion over time and, given […]
Death is a certainty, but many do not plan for it
Every living American will die, but more than half of them have not made adequate—or even any—preparations for that inevitable event. A recent survey by Lawyers.com found that about 60% of Americans do not even have a basic will. In addition, about 70% do not have a living will or health care directive. Only 27% have a medical proxy and […]
Client Letter – Q2 2004
Much of Wall Street and the financial media are geared up to get you to make investment moves. “Buy, sell, trade, exchange, invest,” are among the verbs they shout at you every day. Few tell you that it is probably better to do little or nothing once you have set up a diversified investment portfolio. Consider this: Assume you invested […]
Inflation-protected U.S. bonds are set to take off
As interest rates are poised to rise from their current record lows, bond owners are worried about being stuck with their current fixed yields. But not every bond owner is worried: the growing number who have purchased Treasury inflation-indexed securities are confident they will stay ahead of higher rates and higher inflation. The U.S. Treasury in 1997 began offering the […]
Unrealistic expectations threaten your retirement
Don’t fall into the trap that has grabbed a lot of your fellow workers: they have unrealistic expectations about investment returns and retirement assets and face disappointment in their golden years. A recent survey by Merrill Lynch uncovered some not so surprising mistakes workers are making in their retirement planning. Two of the top concerns of the 1,100 survey participants […]
Magellan’s woes: It isn’t easy to beat the index
Once upon a time there was a mutual fund named Fidelity Magellan that seemed to do no wrong. Under the leadership of its dynamic portfolio manager, Peter Lynch, the fund racked up an eye-popping average annual gain of 29% over 13 years. Investors took notice and poured billions of dollars into the fund, making it the largest stock mutual fund […]
Muzzle your urges, boost your return
The stock market has delivered an average annual return of 12.9% over the 20 years ended in March, and individual investors have had access to plenty of decent stock mutual funds that have come close to that return. Why, then, has the average investor realized vastly inferior returns over this period? A study performed last year by DALBAR, an independent […]