Profit by losing your control attitude

Perhaps the hardest thing to do on the way to becoming a successful investor is unlearning everything you think you know about financial markets and the economy. The difficulty lies in admitting you do not know very much at all. Face it: You probably will not be able to add extra return to your investments by using your “knowledge” of […]

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Client Letter – Q3 2005

One of the first rules of financial success is to protect what you have so that a disaster won’t set you back too far. That means investors who are trying to increase their wealth should protect their sources of wealth with appropriate insurance: health insurance to cover medical catastrophes, disability insurance to protect against loss of salary, and long term […]

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Investment pro to individuals: Index or lose

David Swenson is an investment success story. As overseer of Yale University’s endowment fund for the last 20 years, he has helped it grow to $15 billion by beating the stock market with annualized returns of 16% per year. Swenson hires and oversees active money managers who buy and sell based on their outlooks for individual stocks, industries, and the […]

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Why gamblers and investors make mistakes

How many times have you assumed that what’s happened in the past will continue in the future? For instance, if your trash collector has been showing up early every morning, it seems a pretty good bet that you better get the garbage out the night before, rather than waiting until after breakfast on pickup day. He won’t necessarily show up […]

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Why you cannot switch to bonds after retirement

A common misconception among investors is that an investment portfolio in retirement should be “conservative” because a retiree cannot afford to “lose” money. Unfortunately, investors often use the wrong definitions of the words “conservative” and “lose.” Too often, investors are worried about current—and usually short-term—market fluctuations. They fear “losing” money when the stock market falls. That temporary decline in value […]

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How ‘anchoring’ obscures investment values

Our minds work in funny ways, and one of the most fascinating traits involves our tendency to hang our decisions on irrelevant information. Behavioral psychologists call this tendency “anchoring.” We see it in the investment markets when investors come to regard the price at which they bought an investment as more significant than any other price, or when their predictions […]

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How ‘confirmation bias’ clouds your judgment

First impressions count, but, unfortunately for many investors, they may count too much. The human tendency to rely on first impressions and stick with them despite later evidence to the contrary has been dubbed “confirmation bias” by cognitive researchers. It is a form of mental shortcut that allows us to make decisions when faced with a lot of information. However, […]

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Client Letter – Q2 2005

Did you get a big surprise when preparing your federal income tax return this year? If you were lucky and did not, just wait until next year: your time may be coming. The dreaded alternative minimum tax took a larger bite out of taxpayers’ wallets this year, costing an estimated $6,000 apiece for more than 2.9 million taxpayers. Next year, […]

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Hedge funds: There’s no free lunch

Ever since the big bear market of 2000-02, individual investors have been leery of the stock market. Still reeling from big losses and battered by scary headlines about the dollar’s decline, rising interest rates, and trade and budget deficits, they have flocked to “alternative” investments that promise big returns not tied to the stock market. Hedge funds have been the […]

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Treat television financial ‘experts’ with caution

Paul Kangas, host of the Nightly Business Report, was interviewing New York City investment adviser Todd Eberhard in December 2001: Kangas:  “What should we be buying?” Eberhard: “Well, we’re looking at some stocks which are coming out with very good numbers…  right now. Examples would be a General Electric, which is trading at about $41 a share.” Kangas:  “And also […]

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